Oil rises above $74 on bullish EIA demand outlook (Agencies)
Oil rose above $74 a barrel last week after the US Energy Information
Administration raised its forecast for crude demand and prices this
year, a sign it expected economic recovery to gain steam.
Oil reversed an earlier loss after the US dollar pared gains against
other currencies. A firming dollar can make oil, priced in dollars, less
attractive to investors.
US crude futures rose 36 cents a barrel to $74.12 as of 1:10 pm EST
(1810 GMT), after dipping as low as $72.60. ICE Brent crude futures rose
9 cents to $72.21.
The EIA on Wednesday forecast world oil demand to rise 1.2 million
barrels per day in 2010 from a year earlier, raising its forecast by
120,000 barrels a day from a previous one.
The agency also forecast that oil prices would average $81 a barrel
in the second half of the year, well above current levels.
"A recovering economy and tighter supplies should help oil prices,
even though we haven't seen inventories coming off yet," said Gene
McGillian of Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. "After a
sell-off last week, oil prices are now holding."
The EIA's demand forecast went counter to one earlier Wednesday from
the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which cut its
2010 demand estimate citing the slow pace of world economic recovery.
The dollar firmed against a basket of foreign currencies including
the euro, on uncertainty over the outcome Europe's potential bailout of
debt-strapped Greece, and after comments from US Federal Reserve
chairman Ben Bernanke led some investors to expect the Fed could tighten
US monetary policy soon.
A Greek bailout could alleviate jitters about the fiscal health of
European economies and boost demand for riskier assets like oil,
analysts said.
"News that major European economies have resolved to help Greece and
possibly other peripheral economies within the euro zone is bullish for
risk assets," said Brad Samples, an analyst at Summit Energy in
Louisville, Kentucky.
Earlier Wednesday, oil prices had come under pressure after the
American Petroleum Institute industry group reported a large increase in
US crude inventories last week, and amid a fall in Chinese crude
imports.
Crude stocks in the United States, the world's largest oil consumer,
increased by 7.2 million barrels to 337.6 million barrels in the week to
Feb 5, industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) said late on
Tuesday.
The increase in crude inventories exceeded analysts' expectations for
a 1.5 million barrel rise.
Official stocks data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)
has been delayed to Friday from Wednesday as government offices were
closed due to a snow storm.
Chinese crude imports slid in January, to 4.03 million barrels per
day from their December peak of 5 million barrels per day, although they
were still up 33 percent on the year. (Courtesy: China Daily)
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