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As PM engages world leaders, investors, in Davos :

MR in the middle as divisive tremors hit SLFP

Last Thursday, January 21, President Maithripala Sirisena summoned all Ministers, State Ministers and Deputy Ministers representing the SLFP to his Paget Road residence for a special discussion on the present state of affairs in the party.

The move came amidst a flurry of news reports that the group supporting former President Mahinda Rajapaksa was preparing to form a new political party to contest the Local Government elections. The pro-Rajapaksa group includes a section of the SLFP and minor political parties of the UPFA coalition, the National Freedom Front, the Mahajana Eksath Peramuna, Pivithuru Hela Urumaya and the Democratic Left Front. They also have links with the two old Left political parties, the Lanka Sama Samaja Party (LSSP) and the Communist Party of Sri Lanka (CPSL).

Almost every speaker at the meeting, which lasted for nearly two hours, stressed the need for party unity and an understanding of some sort among President Sirisena, former President Rajapaksa and former President Kumaratunga.

They also asserted that the party should collectively defeat any attempt to create a split in the party in the run-up to the Local Government elections, due this year. It was decided that the party should discuss with all stakeholders to avert a split and work together as one group under the leadership of party Chairman Maithripala Sirisena.

Party stalwarts also discussed the possibility of convening an urgent Central Committee meeting to discuss the current situation and possible 'threats' to party unity and discipline. However, they failed to fix a date for the next meeting of the Central Committee, the top-most decision-making body of the party.

As another step in the same process, the SLFP also decided to hold district-level meetings across the country, where the party's local government representatives would pledge their support to the party. The first two meetings took place in Kandy and Gampaha last week.

"It is important to understand that at the district-level meetings, no member will extend his support to any particular individuals.

They will, as a group, show their support to the party and discuss ways in which the party can strengthen its unity," said a senior party official who also holds a ministerial position in the national unity government.

However, party seniors supporting President Sirisena, namely S.B. Dissanayake, Anura Priyadarshana Yapa and Susil Premajayantha, have been holding under-the-radar discussions over the past two weeks with members of the pro-Rajapaksa group. Former Western Province Chief Minister and UPFA MP Prasanna Ranatunga was their key contact point in the pro-Rajapaksa camp.

The talks however failed to produce the desired results as the Rajapaksa group demanded that the former President should be given the opportunity to lead the party's campaign at the local government elections. This idea was shot down by the group supporting President Sirisena.

"Rajapaksa led the party's campaign at two national election but could not secure victory. If he leads the Local Government election campaign, we will get the same result. So, the

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"It is important to understand that at the district-level meetings, no member will extend their support to particular individuals. They will, as a group, show their support to the party and discuss ways in which the party can strengthen its unity"

- senior SLFP official

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party does not intend to make Rajapaksa the leader of the election campaign," Minister S.B. Dissanayake told a journalist last week on the sidelines of an SLFP press conference.

"But we need his blessings for our election campaign," the outspoken minister, who was appointed to Parliament as a national list MP by President Sirisena, also added. Dissanayake's remarks clearly show the line of thinking among key supporters of the President.

Dissanayake also hosted a dinner for a group of SLFP MPs at his residence in Battaramulla last week. Dilan Perera, T.B. Ekanayake, Nimal Siripala de Silva, John Senevratne, Anura Priyadarshana Yapa, Mahinda Amaraweera, Lasantha Alagiyawanna and Sudarshini Fernandopulle attended the dinner.

At the discussion, Dissanayake presented a 'to-do' list for President Sirisena in order to build up party unity. However, Dissanayake's 'to-do' list was greeted with mixed reactions by his dinner guests. Some were of the view that Dissanyake's proposals would allow the Rajapaksas to easily regain power in the blue camp.

After the discussion, Dissanayake telephoned a senior Cabinet Minister who had earlier held an influential ministerial portfolio under the Rajapaksa administration. The minister was among the first group of MPs who defected with Sirisena to challenge Rajapaksa's presidency in November, 2014. Dissanayake casually informed his colleague about the move but received an unexpected reaction from him.

"What you are planning to do is naïve. Do you imagine Rajapaksa will do his politics without Gota and Basil? If you accommodate Rajapaksa in the party he will also bring Gota and Basil in. Then it will come back to square one. We left the party not because we had a personal issue with Rajapaksa. We had a problem about the manner in which he ran the party," the senior Cabinet Minister explained. It looked as if he convinced Dissanayake to abandon his move.

The group supporting Rajapaksa, at least to some extent, is aware of the fact that the President and his negotiators will not give in to their demands. While holding discussions with the SLFP seniors, they are in the process of doing ground-work to form a new political party. They have calculated that nearly 35 UPFA MPs will certainly join the new political party, breaking away from the SLFP.

However, in an interesting turn of events, the SLFP MPs supporting Rajapaksa were instructed by the seniors of the joint opposition to refrain from talking about forming a new political party. They said such statements would hinder ongoing negotiations with the SLFP officials on working out a solution. However, the joint opposition stalwarts said, other MPs of the UPFA (non-SLFP MPs) could openly talk about the matter as they did not have any commitment to the SLFP or its disciplinary conduct.

That was why only the UPFA's other smaller party leaders openly talked about forming a new political party in recent days while most of the SLFP MPs - except a few hot-blooded, young Parliamentarians - kept mum on the matter.

"I am almost certain that a new party will have to be formed. Even now, the joint opposition functions as a new party. We don't think we can proceed with the SLFP led by President Sirisena. He hoodwinked us once at the Parliamentary election.

We don't want to be hoodwinked again," MP Vasudeva Nanayakkara told a journalist last week when asked whether the UPFA dissident group had any hopes about the discussions within the SLFP. Nanayakakra's response was a clear indication that the leaders of the pro-Rajapaksa UPFA dissident group did not have a positive attitude towards the talks within the SLFP. They think the formation of a new party is inevitable.

SLFP's dilemma

This situation has left the SLFP in a dilemma. It does not require a lot of wisdom to realize that the formation of a new political party will cripple the SLFP as a sizable proportion of the party's grassroots level activists will join the new party.

SLFP local government councillors several districts have already conducted meetings to pledge their support to the former President. At the same time, however, the majority of the party's Parliamentary group and the Central Committee are with President Sirisena and they do not support the former President's comeback bid. The large majority of SLFP seniors are mature enough to understand the gravity of this situation and its complex consequences.

But, they are not in a position to make up their minds to transfer 'leadership responsibilities' to Rajapaksa. The SLFP seniors,

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The SLFP seniors were the worst victims of the Rajapaksa rule over the past 10 years. Under the Rajapaksa rule, the party's decision-making powers were controlled by members of the Rajapaksa family while senior SLFP officials were reduced to rubber stamps.

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needless to say, were the worst victims of the Rajapaksa rule over the past 10 years. Under the Rajapaksa rule, the party's decision-making powers were controlled by members of the Rajapaksa family while senior SLFP officials were reduced to rubber stamps.

As a result, there was a strong sense of frustration among top-rung members of the SLFP who were considered as the old guard of the party.

They knew the Rajapaksas had grand plans to remain in power 'eternally' and Namal Rajapaksa was being groomed to take over the leadership baton from his father. There was no upward mobility in the party hierarchy as all the key positions were held by the Rajpaksas and their acolytes.

It was widely known among political circles that Nimal Siripala de Silva was the first choice to become the opposition's 'Common Candidate' at the last Presidential election. When he changed his mind at the last moment, then SLFP General Secretary Maithripala Sirisena was handpicked as the ideal candidate who could challenge Rajapaksa's third term presidential bid.

Another group of top-rung SLFPers silently supported Sirisena while pretending to be in the Rajapaksa camp. They were the first group to back Sirisena to be the party Chairman soon after the latter won the Presidential election.

In this context, it is naïve to believe that the same SLFP stalwarts will genuinely back Rajapaksa to be the party leader again. That is one reason why they have chosen to back President Sirisena, although the latter became the President with the support of the SLFP's rival political party.

At the same time, they know that the party's grassroots level supporters have a different take on the matter and their allegiance lies with the former President. It is quite evident that they are caught between the devil and the deep blue sea.

At this point, one relief for the SLFP's 'Maithripala group' is the government's move to introduce electoral reforms. The introduction of electoral reforms will at least take a few more months and the local government election will be held under the new electoral system. In the light of the present crisis in the SLFP, the UNP looks like the clear favourite to win the local government elections.

However, the SLFP leadership think-tank, at this point, believes that the new electoral system will lessen the damage for its party.

Gota spills the beans

Another influential person who openly talked about the new political party was former Defence Ministry Secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa. The one-time powerful State official openly expressed his views on the matter when he arrived at the PRECIFAC on Friday to give a statement regarding the corruption probe against him. Rajapaksa said nearly 5.8 million people who voted for his brother at the last Presidential election had become "voiceless".

"The SLFP has decided to join the Government. Therefore, it does not represent the aspirations of the 5.8 million who voted for the party at the Presidential election.

There is a need for a party," the former Defence Ministry Secretary, who is facing a surfeit of issues on the anti-corruption front, told reporters on Friday. "The party," he added, "is not the SLFP."

The former Defence Ministry Secretary added that the former President would step in at the right moment to be the leader of the new political outfit.

"He is a leader who always stood up for the right thing. I believe he will step in at the right moment," Rajapaksa said.

Sources from the pro-Rajapaksa camp told the Sunday Observer that the group had already decided to appoint Rajapaksa as the leader of the new political party. There were rumours earlier that Rajapaksa would take a backseat and Dinesh Gunawardena or Gotabaya Rajapaksa would be entrusted with the task of leading the alliance.

Davos

While the SLFP was dealing with various internal power struggles, Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe left for Davos, Switzerland, to attend the World Economic Forum - a first for a Sri Lankan political leader. Many political and economic observers dubbed the Prime Minister's participation in the World Economic Forum as a rare opportunity for Sri Lanka to attract FDI opportunities and to paint a better picture about the political and economic situation in the country, especially after the regime change in January, last year.

The World Economic Forum took place while the global economy was facing numerous challenges. The Prime Minister's participation in the WEF gave Sri Lanka the opportunity to voice its position on the challenges faced by the world economy at large.

On the sidelines of WEF 2016, the Premier also chaired an evening 'Sri Lanka Investment Forum' at the Morosani Post Hotel in addition to a VIP luncheon discussion on 'How to Invest in Sri Lanka' at Swiss chalet Fuxägufer. Development Strategies and International Trade Minister Malik Samarawickrama, Finance Minister Ravi Karunanayake and Central Bank Governor Arjuna Mahendran and Sri

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"The former President would step in at the right moment to be the leader of the new political outfit. He is a leader who always stood up for the right thing. I believe he will step in at the right moment"

- Gota

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Lanka's Ambassador to the UN in Geneva, Switzerland, Ravinatha Aryasinha also joined the Prime Minister during the events..

Both events were organised under the aegis of the Swiss-Asian Chamber of Commerce with support from the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce and the Office of Sri Lanka's Ambassador in UN Geneva.

Apart from the Ministers and a group of senior state officials, a delegation of leading Lankan business leaders from the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce also joined the Prime Minister during the sessions. They included Brandix CEO Ashroff Omar, Carson Cumberbatch Director Hari Selvanathan, John Keells Holdings Deputy Chairman Ajit Gunewardene, former Ceylon Chamber of Commerce Chairman Suresh Shah, Colombo Stock Exchange Chairman Vajira Kulatilaka, Ceylon Biscuits Group Managing Director Sheamali Wickramasinghe, MTD Walkers Chairman Jehan Amaratunga, TW Corp. Chairman Thilan Wijesinghe, Virtusa Chief Operating Officer Keith Modder and Ceylon Chamber of Commerce CEO Mangala Yapa. They were joined by two foreign investors Pierre Pringiers (Camso Loadstar) and Philip Richart (Lafarge Holcim).

In addition to them, the WEF's only Sri Lankan member John Keells Holdings Chairman Susantha Ratnayake, Advisor to PM Dinesh Weerakkody, CSE Director Anton Godfrey, business leader Suresh Subramaniam and top professional Dr. Kapila Ranasinghe were also in Davos with the Sri Lankan Prime Minister.

PM reassures

Apart from taking measures to attract more investment opportunities, the Prime Minister also set the record straight on matters relating to the country's foreign policy and its direction. When asked by international media as to how the Sri Lankan government would tackle China, the Sri Lankan Prime Minister said the government would welcome Chinese involvement as the country had adopted a "friends to all" foreign policy after the new government came to power.

Wickremesinghe said Chinese funded infrastructure projects, including the Colombo Port City, would go ahead.

"Infrastructure alone is not sufficient. Now we are discussing bringing Chinese investments," Wickremesinghe said.

"I think the Chinese government has also decided that some of its manufacturing industries should move out and Sri Lanka seems to be one of the locations for industries to be moved out to. We are looking at Chinese participation in the logistics hub of Sri Lanka as well as further investments in the real estate sector," he added.

Commenting on China's role in the global economy, the Prime Minister said China had become a global economic power and it was "reaching out" to various regions including the Indian Ocean region.

"There is a need to restructure the country's economy and we can overcome our challenges only through a restructuring process," he added while speaking on the way forward of the country's economy.

"We have formed a government

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We have started off a great experiment, firstly of reconciliation and, secondly, of re-establishing a constitutional democracy. We will also have an understanding to create national policies concerning major issues in the country. Then when we part ways, probably after the next election, there will still be national policies that will remain unchanged

- PM

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with the two main parties. This has never happened in South Asia or South East Asia. We have started off a great experiment, firstly of reconciliation and, secondly, of re-establishing a constitutional democracy.

We will also have an understanding to create national policies concerning major issues in the country. Then when we part ways, probably after the next election, there will still be national policies that will remain unchanged.

We are having discussions with the IMF and we have not yet reached a conclusion. There is a need to restructure our economy and the current balance of payment issue cannot be corrected without a major restructuring. There has been a drop in the revenue collection in the country and the mechanism is not working.

On the other hand, the global economy has not recovered fast enough. We had a Sri Lankan Economic Forum where we discussed some of the challenges with experts and the private sector.

After our talks with the IMF, we will come up with a contingency plan for the future.

No one is certain as to what will happen in 2016," the Prime Minister said, speaking to a group of international press correspondents in Davos.

"We have reached out to the Tamils. We are discussing with Tamil parties. The government is working on the questions of reconciliation. On the other hand, we are having discussions with Tamil parties on the new constitution, new electoral system and further devolution of power.

More lands will be handed over to Tamils in the North in the near future and Tamils have been recruited to the country's police force. Gradually things are getting back on the right track," the Prime Minister said while stressing that there are no political prisoners in the country.

Meanwhile, on the sidelines of the WEF, the Sri Lankan Prime Minister also met Asian Development Bank Chairman Takehiko Nakao who pledged more financial and technological support to Sri Lanka as the country had made progress in the field democracy, human rights and freedom of people. Their meeting focused on how the ADB can provide further assistance for the development of Sri Lanka.

ADB Chairman Nakao said he would be in Sri Lanka next month to extensively discuss on how ADB can provide assistance. He added that the Asian Development Bank was ready to assist Sri Lanka to recover its earlier place on the world map as a democratic and free country.

Reforms

Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe outlined the reforms to be made in the country's health and education sector.

The ADB Chairman in return said that the social develop index in terms of health and education is at a commendable point and expected that Sri Lanka could raise these indices further through reforms.They also expressed views on how Sri Lanka had obtained loans from donor agencies extensively in the past few years. Both Prime Minister Wickremesinghe and ADB chairman agreed to explore the ways for the Asian Development Bank to alleviate the debt burden.In another important development, Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte, who also took part in the WEF, expressed his willingness to support Sri Lanka to eradicate kidney disease and solve the issues pertaining to water management.

Rutte also appreciated the changes that occurred in Sri Lanka under the new government stating that it has strengthen democracy and good governance in the country. Supporting the Sri Lankan government's mission to strengthen its agriculture sector, the Netherlands Prime Minister said that he would extend his support to improve and strengthen the agriculture sector in Sri Lanka.

 

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