IMF to rescue EMs from China spillover
China can avoid a "hard landing" if Beijing pursues reforms to State
enterprises and sticks to a more market-driven and well-communicated
exchange rate policy, International Monetary Fund, Managing Director,
Christine Lagarde said.
But
Lagarde said spillovers from China's transition to a slower, more
sustainable growth rate would continue to pressure oil and commodity
exporters around the globe, increasing demands for financing help from
the IMF and other international institutions.
She told an online media briefing that the IMF wanted to be ready to
handle any emerging market (EM) difficulties with new and improved
financing tools.
"China is going through that massive, multi-faceted transition and we
do not expect a hard landing of China as has been talked about for many
years," Lagarde said.
She said that China's transition will still be difficult and create
market volatility. Oil and metals prices, now two-thirds below their
most recent peaks in 2014, will likely stay low for some time.
As a result, the international financial safety net "needs to be
strong and needs to be readily available to face any circumstances,"
Lagarde said. The IMF will be working in the coming months to improve
financing instruments, such as credit and liquidity lines, and new
instruments to address their situations.
Lagarde's remarks came as several oil and commodity exporters,
including Peru, Angola and Azerbaijan, are in talks with the World Bank
on financing to cope with widening budget deficits.
In a speech on Thursday at the University of Maryland, Lagarde said a
larger and more robust financial safety net would reduce the need for
many emerging market countries to hold large foreign exchange reserves,
freeing funds for investments in infrastructure and education.
Lagarde said advanced economies should take steps to support growth
through accommodative monetary policy and infrastructure spending, while
emerging economies can help by boosting non-commodity revenue and
allowing more flexible exchange rate policies.
One area where emerging markets could help ease fiscal pressures was
to take advantage of low oil prices to reduce or eliminate fuel
subsidies and replace them with more targeted programs to aid the poor,
she said. |