Those making false statements about the economy must be made
accountable
Over the past few years, one or two politicians and some unnamed
analysts have been making negative statements regularly about the
economy, which has been highly provocative and offensive. It is obvious
that such statements have been designed to create a fear psychosis in
the minds of the recipients of these messages with resultant negative
consequences to the economy.
However, the persons who make these irresponsible statements have
never been held accountable for their deliberately misleading
statements, and have got off scot free, notwithstanding the huge damage
caused to the country by their statements. As a result, they have
continued to fabricate new horror stories and continued to inflict
damage on the economy.
It is now time to expose these elements and highlight the damage they
have caused to the economy of Sri Lanka. Such disclosure may, hopefully
someday, prompt society to bring these persons to justice, and compel
them to compensate the country for the colossal monetary losses caused
by them.
An exposure of that nature is particularly relevant, since in today's
information-age, misinformation, falsehoods, doctored analysis, and
downright lies could be far more damaging than violent physical
assaults, and therefore society must implement suitable strategies to
deal with this type of reprehensible and vulgar behaviour.
In 2007, an economic hit-team, led by a present day politician,
embarked on a massive campaign against the first ever international
sovereign bond of US$ 500m that Sri Lanka launched at that time. The
hit-team threatened all international investors that a future Government
of Sri Lanka led by the political party they belonged to, would not
repay the bond, if they (investors) were to invest in the Sri Lankan
bonds.
That highly damaging threat had a major impact on the interest rate
of the bond, and consequently Sri Lanka had to pay an interest rate
which was at least 1.5 percent per annum higher than what would have
otherwise been payable, if not for these offensive statements.
In money terms, the additional interest in dollars on the bond issues
of US$ 500 m each, issued in 2007 and 2008, works out to about US$ 75 m,
which means that the economic hit-men had caused a loss of US$ 75 m to
the country, over the past five years.
In 2008, when Sri Lanka's inflation showed a tendency to increase,
the same economic hit-men went on the rampage, holding press
conferences, disseminating dubious analysis and articles, and
proclaiming that Sri Lanka will soon end up like Zimbabwe, and suffer
hyper-inflation. Those concerted attacks put fear and panic into the
minds of some people and investors, and as a result, inflation
expectations rose sharply.
The high inflation expectations served to damage business sentiment,
increase interest rates, and discourage investments, which were
obviously the negative outcome that these hit-men were attempting to
achieve. Fortunately, the Government and the Central Bank were able to
defeat the negativity, and almost as a slap on the faces of these
hit-men, Sri Lanka has now been able to register its longest ever period
of low inflation since the liberalisation of the economy in 1977.
In 2008 and 2009, the vociferous economic hit-team spread the canard
that the impending withdrawal GSP+ concessions by the EU would lead to
500,000 job losses in the country, and that the garment export sector
would be crippled. As a result of these warnings, some economic
stakeholders became nervous and adopted a 'wait and see' attitude, while
credit rating agencies and international organisations expressed serious
apprehension.
In due course, the GSP+ was withdrawn, and the economy suffered no
real damage as warned by these detractors. However, the damage to the
economy as a result of the artificially created negative public
sentiment in the run-up period was significant, in tangible and
intangible terms.
In 2009, this same well-known economic hit-team, at the first sign of
some disturbance in one bank, vigorously warned the public that the
entire financial system in Sri Lanka is on the verge of collapse. They
held press conferences and indirectly asked people to pull their money
out of banks and finance companies, knowing very well that such an
occurrence would destabilise the entire financial system and create
economic chaos.
Had their efforts succeeded, the damage would have been incalculable,
but here too, the Government and the Central Bank were able to overcome
the stress and defeat this anti-national campaign, by quickly
stabilising all banks and finance companies.
In recent times, another highly mischievous and utterly distasteful
insult levelled by the notorious boss of the economic hit-men club, was
that China is the world's economic hit-man. Perhaps this anti-China
politician may have been upset that China had been making substantial
investments in Sri Lanka's infrastructure projects and that reality may
have prompted him to recklessly label China as an economic hit-man. But,
in so doing, he had also labelled his own political party as being a
staunch anti-China party.
Such an anti-China policy would not do any good for his political
party, and it is likely that long-standing stalwarts in that party may
now be hoping that their party's current anti-China policy will not lead
them to disastrous results, just like their anti-India policy of the
late 70s, left them in dire straits in the 80s.
In the light of these and many other instances of false analysis,
reckless threats, cunning deceptions and downright lies, many now
believe that appropriate counter measures must be introduced to expose
these anti-national elements.
This is particularly important because all this time, these elements
have been able to make irresponsible and false statements, inflict
damage on the economy, and get away with it.
Therefore, society must now develop mechanisms to name these shameful
economic hit-men, and not be shy to describe these anti-national
elements in the manner that they should really be described: Traitors.
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