Asia to record the best economic growth
Shifting demographic patterns, the rapid pace of technological
advancement, shift to knowledge-based economies and increasing pressures
for innovation, productivity and cost-containment will set the pace for
work in the next five years, said Commercial Bank, Chairman, Dinesh
Weerakkody at the CIMA Business Brief on Emerging Work Force Challenges
for Sri Lankan Business.
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Dinesh Weerakkody |
He said that Sri Lankan business has been resilient to internal and
external changes with growth in GDP averaging around five to six percent
during the past five years. The rapid change of pace has affected all
industries and is changing the nature of work.
Weerakkody said that there are more unemployed young people in almost
every country in the developed world who are burdened with the largest
student loans ever recorded which is a recipe for disaster.
One could expect more riots in countries where young people are prone
to riot. For many years the number of engineers has been declining,
especially civil and mechanical engineers.
The number of legal and accounting graduates has been increasing, but
the number of jobs available for them has plummeted, leading to more and
more young people working in careers for which they were never formally
trained. As a result they move around regularly, building breadth but
not depth in their knowledge.
Increasingly, in every market and country we will see people delaying
retirement and staying longer in the workforce. This may be because
governments are either increasing the retirement age, or because those
in the private sector just choose to work longer - either way it has the
same effect.
Weerakkody observed that migration of skilled talent would play a
much bigger role in shaping the skilled work force, especially for
multinational companies and emerging economies. Unemployed young people
and an older generation looking for post- career alternative working
options will fuel a new wave of start-up businesses and with Asia
experiencing and set to experience its best economic growth ever,
purchasing power most likely will quadruple by 2050. Weerakkody said, we
would continue to see the breakdown of the ‘traditional’ office with
‘normal’ office hours. This is more than ‘work-life balance’, he said.
It is a new way of thinking about how to arrange the pieces of the
puzzle of a typical life.
Again, this will be driven by young and old workers, who may work for
a few months then leave that job to travel or take time off, then return
to a different job for a while. They may develop ‘portfolio careers’ or
have multiple consulting engagements at a time.
For the first time ever, we will see four generations working side by
side in the workplace, and their attitudes will be significantly
different to what we now see in a ‘normal’ workplace and this will lead
to generational conflicts within workplaces.
Due to artificial intelligence, automating complex but essentially
repetitive and rigid jobs, the increase in computing power will continue
at a rapid pace in the next five years, and that will push computers
ever closer to real artificial intelligence.
At the very least it will mean we will have enough computing power to
do things we once considered almost impossible. We will automate many
complex jobs that today must be done by trained professionals. That
would lead to job losses among knowledge workers and professionals.
This decade he said, will see continuing focus not only on bringing
more females into the workplace, but rather bringing a female influence
as well. This might be the biggest change in corporate culture in a
century.
Finally he said, setting, managing and communicating executive pay
will be more challenging as executive pay programs come under closer
scrutiny by share holders and regulators.
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