Developing countries face debt uncertainty- UNCTAD
Geneva: Many of the world's poorer countries have improved their debt
balances in recent years, but "this positive trend is now sputtering",
UNCTAD Secretary-General Mukhisa Kituyi told a debt management
conference recently.
He said that the UNCTAD-formulated set of principles on Responsible
Sovereign Lending and Borrowing should be increasingly applied, and
called for international reforms leading to an "agreed mechanism for
debt workouts" to be used if a new round of debt crises occurs.
The Secretary-General was speaking at the opening of the ninth UNCTAD
Debt Management Conference. The three-day event featured high-level
panel discussions on how developing countries can cope with external
events that may affect their debt situations.
Among the panellists were Minister of Finance and Revenue of Myanmar,
Win Shein and Minister of Finance, Commerce, Investment and Economic
Planning of South Sudan, Aggrey Tisa Sabuni and several national
treasury officials and debt management experts.
Dr. Kituyi said that the debt stocks of developing nations had
increased by more than 10 percent per year since the 2009 global
financial crisis, and in 2012 had expanded by 12 percent.
Until recently, significant gross domestic product (GDP) growth, even
after the recession, had outstripped the increasing debt loads, enabling
developing countries and the so-called transition economies to reduce
the average ratio of total debt to GDP from about 28 percent early in
the new millennium to about 21 percent in 2011.
But continuing stagnation in advanced economies recently had caused a
"sharp contraction of export growth" in developing and transition
countries, Dr. Kituyi said.
At the same time, high levels of unemployment and a corresponding
need for social services had increased government expenses.
Additionally, capital flows to poor countries had become more volatile,
over speculation on when government stimulus measures there would be
"tapered off", he said.
In some cases, the Secretary-General said, capital flows to
developing countries had reversed. The result is that in 2012, the
debt-to-GDP ratio for developing countries worsened slightly, for the
first time in more than a decade, to an average of about 22 percent.
"As yet, there is no reason for alarm," Dr. Kituyi said.
He said that the irony is that "contrary to the 1990s, today most of
the high-profile cases of sovereign debt distress are in the advanced
countries." But while "the external debt situation of developing
countries as a group remains manageable, even if aggregate statistics
mask important differences between countries, these new challenges are a
cause for vigilance."
"As the frequency and severity of such debt crises have increased,
and they are no longer isolated to developing countries, the need for
timely, impartial and transparent resolutions of debt problems has
become more acute for all countries.
"Achieving this will require reforms of the international financial
architecture that create more effective mechanisms for the prevention of
crises and their timely resolution," he said.
The Secretary-General said that UNCTAD's set of Principles on
Responsible Sovereign Lending and Borrowing "do not create new rights or
new obligations in international law, however they do identify and
systematise the basic general principles and best practices applied to
sovereign lending and borrowing and elaborate the implications of these
standards.
Through voluntary adherence to these principles by a growing number
of actors, they contribute to the prevention of the debt crises." The
Secretary-General said, "We must also improve the way we deal with debt
crises when they do occur", and urged the development of "an agreed
mechanism for debt workouts" to avoid legal uncertainty and protracted
negotiations on debt restructurings.
He said that the lack of such a mechanism could "exacerbate the
adverse impact of crises on the affected country and on its creditors."
UNCTAD has set up a working group to develop a debt workout
mechanism, Dr. Kituyi said. |