Indonesian Tsunami Highlights:
Limits of Early Warning Systems
Gaps in the warning technology - Chandrapala
July 19 - For thousands of tourists along a 176 kilometer(110)-mile
stretch of coastline on Indonesia's Java island, the first warning of
Monday's tsunami was the roar of 3- metre (9.8-foot) waves crashing onto
the beach.
Tsunami warning centres in Indonesia, Australia, Malaysia, Sri Lanka
and Thailand received alerts between 15 minutes and an hour after the
7.7-magnitude earthquake struck on July 17. At least 379 died on the
coast of Java, where no warning was given.
Nineteen months after more than 220,000 people across Asia and Africa
died in a tsunami triggered by a quake near Indonesia, countries around
the Pacific and Indian Oceans have developed or bolstered early warning
systems.
The problem: beaches haven't been equipped to sound the alarm when
waves are approaching. "In Hawaii, the back of every beach has a siren
which sounds if there's a tsunami warning," Brian Kennett, a seismology
professor at Australian National University, said from Canberra. ``It's
a major effort to make sure that every beach in the island of Java would
be monitored in such a way.''
Monday's tsunami came too fast for alerts to be activated, Indonesian
Vice President Jusuf Kalla said after a Tuesday night Cabinet meeting to
discuss the disaster.
"Between the quake and the tsunami there was only 15 minutes," Kalla
said.
Early warnings need "more time than that."
Ring of Fire
This week's quake was the latest in a rash of seismic activity around
Indonesia. A May 27 quake killed more than 5,700 people south of
Yogjakarta.
In March, 2005 more than 1,300 people died on Nias and other islands
near Sumatra after a quake and tsunami, according to the U.S. Geological
Survey.
Areas around Mount Merapi on Java were evacuated earlier this year
amid concerns that the volcano would erupt.
The world's largest archipelago runs from the Indian to the Pacific
Oceans and sits on one arc of what is called the Pacific Ring of Fire,
marked by hundreds of seismic fault lines. On Dec. 26, 2004, a
magnitude-9 quake struck off the coast of Indonesia's Aceh province
generating waves that hit coastlines with almost no warning.
"The problem is, if the epicenter is close to land, then the waves
can hit no sooner (than) you feel the earthquake," said Lalith
Chandrapala, deputy director of Sri Lanka's Department of Meteorology.
"In low-lying areas, people have no time to reach shelter. This is
what happened in Aceh."
Monday's quake occurred 240 kilometers (150 miles)from the town of
Tasikmalaya, near the Indonesian coast.
`Not Sufficient'
"A locally generated tsunami may reach a nearby shore in less than 10
minutes," according to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center based in
Hawaii.
Malaysia's seismic station detected Monday's quake ``within a few
minutes'' of it occurring, said Yap Kok Seng, director general of
Malaysia's Meteorological Services Department.
Within half an hour, the country had received warnings from the
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center and Japan's Meteorological Agency, which
both provide tsunami warnings for Indian Ocean nations.
"The warning from the PTC and JMA is very useful," Yap said,
referring to the two tsunami-warning agencies. "Now it's a matter for
countries like Indonesia to get the information to the locals
immediately. If the tsunami hits the coast within half an hour, you
require a response that's much faster than half an hour."
`Ocean Queen'
For the Ocean Queen, a resort in Indonesia's Pelabuhan Ratu
consisting of 18 beachfront bamboo huts facing the Indian Ocean, the
first news of the tsunami risk came when they were contacted by
Bloomberg half an hour after the quake.
The West Java resort, which didn't suffer damage, immediately
evacuated about 60 guests and 40 staff members, according to
President-Director Nick Andrews.
"We're very grateful for the warning because there wasn't one
locally," Andrews said afterwards. "We may install sirens after this
incident because it will warn people faster. The government should put a
system in place."
In Thailand, where more than 5,000 people died in the 2004 tsunami,
65 tsunami warning towers were erected in six southwest provinces
affected by that disaster, Pakdivat Vagipanlop, an air vice marshal
stationed at the National Disaster Warning Center in Bangkok, said
yesterday. By the end of this year there will be 79 towers sounding
alarms triggered by satellite alerts from earthquake and wave data.
Taking Precautions
Sri Lanka's meteorology department was alerted by the island's only
seismic station 12 minutes after the quake hit and subsequently received
warnings from the two agencies, according to Sri Lanka's Chandrapala.
"The system worked well and we made the correct decision not to issue
a warning for Sri Lanka," Chandrapala said. More than 30,000 people died
in Sri Lanka in the 2004 tsunami.
Chandrapala said the U.S. government planned to set up two buoys
measuring wave activity along Sri Lanka's northeastern coast by
September.
"There are still gaps in the warning system," he said.
A tsunami alert system for nations bordering the Indian Ocean has
gradually come on line since April and is operational, Koichiro
Matsuura, director general of the United Nations Educational, Scientific
and Cultural Organization, said on June 28 in Paris. Some 26 information
analysis centres capable of receiving and distributing tsunami
advisories have been activated in Indian Ocean countries, he said.
They are linked to 25 seismological stations and three deep-sea
sensors. Matsuura said last month the system would be further improved
by the end of the year, when it will be capable of "faster detection" of
tsunamis and greater precision in locating the epicenter of earthquakes
that cause the deadly waves.
(Straits Times)
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