Koizumi, a unique Prime Minister
Ties with China have deteriorated to their worst state in decades
because of a row over his visits to the controversial war-linked
Yasukuni shrine. The two countries are also at odds over undersea
resources that both claim, although bilateral trade continues to grow.
The five years since Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi took
office have certainly not been dull.
Mr Koizumi has forced through hard-hitting economic reforms,
sidelined ruling party traditionalists and carved out a new
international profile for the country.
And he has changed, perhaps for good, the way politics works in
Japan.
"Koizumi really stands out as a unique prime minister," says
Professor Haruo Shimada of Keio University. "He brought very powerful
leadership and a clear-cut message."
As Mr Koizumi prepares to step aside - the ruling Liberal Democratic
Party (LDP) is set to elect a new leader on Wednesday - Japan is
weighing up the prime minister's achievements, and whether they will
last.
Spending
Mr Koizumi's biggest achievement, says Prof Shimada, was changing the
way decisions were taken. He took control over the budget from the civil
service, using his authority to streamline Japan's huge bureaucracy and
cut public spending.
The move did not please everybody. Cuts to public works projects -
vote-winners for ruling party lawmakers in rural areas - annoyed party
traditionalists.
But it was in his plans to reform Japan Post - the mammoth postal
savings institution - that Mr Koizumi faced his biggest challenge from
Liberal Democratic Party elders.
Mr Koizumi argued that privatising the post office would free up
funds - used to finance works projects - to help the economy.
Critics said that the move would lead to job losses and weaken the
LDP's support base.
The bill was defeated in parliament in August 2005, so Mr Koizumi
called - and overwhelmingly won - an election, a poll that quickly
became a referendum on postal reform.
"Koizumi really challenged the traditional machinations of domestic
politics to achieve his reform agenda," says Nicholas Szechenyi of the
Washington-based Centre for Strategic and International Studies.
"He decided that he was going to push ahead with his agenda and sweep
tradition aside," Mr Szechenyi said. "He set the stage for independent
policy-making."
He also, by not deferring to party elders and factions, shunned the
consensus-based style of his predecessors.
Mr Koizumi's willingness to confront his own party and initiate
reform won him popular support, as did his flamboyancy.
He attracted attention with his open passion for music - opera and
Elvis - and there was, of course, his much-celebrated hair style.
"These things were important because he created an image of himself
that the media could catch on to," says Dr Sarah Hyde of the University
of Kent.
"It was interesting to follow Koizumi, and you can't often say that
about a Japanese prime minister."
This high level of interest helped him get his policy messages
through to the public, and the popular support he won, even if it
fluctuated from time to time, allowed him to pursue more controversial
policies, particularly on the international stage.
He prioritised a strong alliance with the United States, forging a
good relationship with President George W Bush.
And it was to support Washington that he approved the dispatch of the
Self-Defence Forces to Iraq, the first time Japanese troops had been
deployed to a combat zone since World War II.
While the presence of troops may not have been strategically vital,
it was a much-appreciated gesture to the US.
The dispatch - as well as others to support Afghan operations and
Indonesian reconstruction - and a series of high profile visits by Mr
Koizumi to areas including North Korea, the Middle East and Central
Asia, showed Japan was seeking a higher profile on the international
stage.
"His leadership really helped cement Japan's global role," says Mr
Szechenyi.
'New debate'
But this new role - and Tokyo's quest for a permanent seat on the
United Nations Security Council - refocused attention on Japan's
post-war pacifist constitution, which bans the retention of military
forces.
After the Iraq dispatch went through under special legislation, Mr
Koizumi proposed a constitutional revision allowing the deployment of
troops on peace-keeping missions.
The idea of revision is domestically unpopular and may be years away.
But, says Dr Hyde, it is now "a whole new debate that they never had
before".
But constitutional revision would not please Japan's neighbours, and
it is in regional relationships that Mr Koizumi's record is most open to
criticism.
Ties with China have deteriorated to their worst state in decades
because of a row over his visits to the controversial war-linked
Yasukuni shrine. The two countries are also at odds over undersea
resources that both claim, although bilateral trade continues to grow.
Dr Hyde says Mr Koizumi's attitude towards China is ill-judged.
"Everyday China gets more important to Japan, but Japan hasn't realised
this yet," she says.
Equally, countries in the region fear what they perceive as a
creeping return to nationalist attitudes of the past.
Dr Hyde believes that nationalist sentiment is on the up, albeit
within a small minority. "Under Koizumi, (nationalists) have been able
to voice these thoughts far more easily than before," she says.
What happens after Mr Koizumi is not clear.
His economic reforms will take time to play out and, while he has
opened the debate on several new policy areas, they remain to be
completed by his successor.
There are also a number of issues that Mr Koizumi leaves unresolved,
such as the declining birth-rate and concern over rising income
disparities.
And it remains to be seen whether the changes he brought to the
Japanese political scene are permanent.
Dr Hyde foresees a partial return to a more traditional leadership
style. "I think there can only be some retrenchment and return to the
old way," she said.
But this is in part because Mr Koizumi was such a departure from
leaders of the past.
"Domestically he challenged the system, both politically and
economically, to advance his reform agenda. He was in incredibly dynamic
leader," said Mr Szechenyi.
(BBC NEWS)
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