Lanka, best performing economy in South Asia -ADB
Sri Lanka continues to grow strongly while other parts of the South
Asian region will see softer than anticipated growth, says a new Asian
Development Bank Report released last week.
Continued tepid demand from the major industrial economies coupled
with slower growth in China are weighing on the outlook for developing
Asia, says the ADB's latest Asian Development Outlook Report.
The Report trimmed its 2013 growth forecast for the 45 developing
member countries of ADB to 6.3 percent and cut its 2014 forecast to 6.4
percent. In April, the ADB had predicted the region to grow by 6.6
percent this year and 6.7 percent next year.
"The drop in trade and scaling back of investment are part of a more
balanced growth path for China, and the knock-on effect of its slower
pace is definitely a concern for the region. But we are also seeing more
subdued activity across much of developing Asia," said ADB Chief
Economist Changyong Rhee.
China - home to developing Asia's largest economy - is likely to see
its economy expand 7.7 percent this year and 7.5 percent in 2014 after a
growth of 7.8 percent in 2012. The report notes that import and export
growth has slowed due to weak external demand, but notes continuing
robust consumer confidence. Slower growth in the People's Republic of
China has subdued the outlook for the entire East Asia region, as well
as, to a lesser extent, for Southeast Asia, where the Philippines and
other large ASEAN countries are otherwise seeing solid growth. In India,
meanwhile, slow progress in pushing through the reforms needed to ease
business bottlenecks means growth is likely to be 5.8 percent this year,
slower than the previously forecast six percent. ADB maintains its 2014
forecast of 6.5 percent for 2014.
Elsewhere in South Asia, Sri Lanka was the most promising economy.
The report has also trimmed forecasts for Central Asia, reflecting the
sluggish economic performance of Kazakhstan and Georgia, and for the
Pacific where Timor-Leste is seeing a slowdown in government spending.
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