Japan struggles for place in the world
 Shotaro Kodama, a 74-year-old who lived in Hiroshima when the atomic
bomb was dropped in 1945, is worried Japan will revisit the dangerous
aggression of its past.
"The probability is that Japan will fight again in a war and I don't
like it," he said. Such worries are understandable.
As domestic alarm rises over the potential threat posed by neighbours
China and North Korea, and Washington seeks allies to help shoulder the
burden of its foreign policy, Japan is coming under increasing pressure
to play a more assertive role on the international stage.
Its leaders have responded by instigating a wide-sweeping review of
Japan's UN role, its constitution, and its general security policy.
Still haunted
But any changes are controversial in a country which is still haunted
by the atrocities it wreaked during its wartime occupation of the
region.
Japan's post-war constitution forever renounces war, and its soldiers
have not fired a shot in conflict since 1945.
The government already went too far, in the eyes of people like Mr
Kodama, when it pushed through legislation last year to allow it to send
troops to Iraq.
The 550-strong contingent is only there to help rebuild the nation,
not to fight. But many fear it could get drawn into conflict in what is,
in reality, still a combat zone.
Yet Washington would like Japan to do more, for example by extending
the military's powers so that they can fire to defend their allies, and
not just themselves.
Some lawmakers in Japan would also like a freer hand, frustrated not
only by the country's impotence on the international stage, but by its
inability to adequately defend itself.
"They think Japan should stand up for itself much more.... should be
an equal partner with the United States," said Christopher Hughes at the
University of Warwick.
There's a big distinction between participating in UN peacekeeping
resolutions and invading China again
Taro Kono, ruling party lawmaker, The most obvious threat to Japan is
North Korea, which demonstrated in 1998 that it had missiles which can
reach Japan. It is also believed to have nuclear weapons.
Long-term rival
But analysts say the real, unspoken, worry is China - Japan's
long-term rival for regional trade and resources.
As a result, Japan is currently undertaking a comprehensive review of
its security policy. This week, a government panel recommended a series
of changes, including the relaxation of its arms sales ban, a debate on
offensive missile capability, and a fuller international policing role
for its armed forces.
Separately, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party is reviewing the
constitution, including the pacifist Article 9, and wants to hold a
referendum on possible changes in about five years' time.
Japan cannot wholly reinvent itself. Severing its post-war US
alliance and declaring itself completely neutral, for example, is
unrealistic for a country so reliant on Washington for security and
trade. Japan's constitution renounces the use of force. This has been
stretched to allow self-defence troops.
1992 law allowed troops to join UN and relief work overseas 2003 law
said troops could go to non-combat zones in Iraq PM Koizumi wants to
give Japan even greater powers.
It is lobbying for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, which
would give it more say in international diplomacy. But analysts think it
unlikely the current permanent members will welcome a new face, and thus
the dilution of their powers.
But Japan can shape its security policy, and in doing so decide how
it negotiates an identity for itself in the 21st century.
Taro Kono, an LDP lawmaker who sits on Japan's parliamentary select
committee for constitutional reform, denied that the security review
under way marked the start of a creeping militarism.
"There's a big distinction between participating in UN peacekeeping
resolutions and invading China again," he said.
Ben Self, US-Japan security analyst at the Stimson Center in
Washington, was equally sanguine, arguing that Tokyo was only taking
tiny steps.
"I think it's political manoeuvring to show Washington that movement
is there without actually going there yet," he said.
But Warwick University's Christopher Hughes argued that Japan's
military role had been expanding at an accelerating rate over the last
few years, suggesting Japan's "overall trajectory" was towards building
a full combat force.
It is difficult to judge how the public feel. Opinion polls by major
newspapers to mark Constitution Day last month all agreed that for the
first time in half a century a majority of Japanese were in favour of
revising the constitution.
Akira Kawasaki from the Japanese NGO Peace Boat complained that the
public was not helped by unsophisticated debate predicated on broad
questions of national pride such as "If you don't have any kind of
military force, how can you protect your own country?"
More specific
He said the country needed to make the debate more specific and
honest - for example, by acknowledging Japan's ties to the US - in order
to give the public something to get its teeth into.
It is not clear how much change Japanese people can stomach. But the
issue may at least force more public discussion about Japan's wartime
past, and its future role.
"Usually Japanese people don't like discussion or expressing opinions
openly, and now is a good time to have a discussion about this basic
problem," said Mr Kodama.
BBC NEWS
|