IMF Stand By Agreement transparent
No hidden conditions in the IMF Stand By Agreement (SBA) between Sri
Lankan government and the IMF and all the terms, conditions, the agreed
milestones and targets are in the MoU that is published in the Central
Bank website, said the head of the visiting IMF mission Dr. Brian Aitken.
The IMF mission was in Colombo from September 9-22, on the first
review of the program supported by the SBA.
The SBA entails seven quarterly reviews over the next 18 months. Each
review will assess macro economic developments, determine the progress
towards meeting the agreed program benchmarks and review prospects for
achieving the program’s goals. Aitken said that during the visit, his
delegation met the senior officials of the Treasury, Central Bank,
private sector and the civil society representatives. The second tranche
of the IMF loan is scheduled to be released in October, after this
review and the third in January.
Aitken said that the recent economic development in Sri Lanka is
stronger than expected and IMF expects a 3.5% economic growth rate in
2009, higher than expected 3% growth rate at the time the program was
approved. Inflation remains lower and is expected to remain at single
digit during the year. Exports have shown signs of recovery in recent
months. Import growth that remained sluggish is expected to pick up in
the second half of the year as economic activities increase.
IMF mission said that the government’s policy approach is in line
with the program and the performance based on July targets are broadly
satisfactory. Net international reserves position shows continuous
impressive growth driven by increased investor confidence and stronger
than expected remittance.
Foreign investments flows into longer term treasury bonds is a
positive sign. However, the Central Bank should build a buffer against
the capital flows.
IMF welcomes Central Banks measures taken to rebuild reserves and
reducing policy interest rates. The fiscal outlook too has improved and
7% budget deficit target is ambitious. Fiscal targets are tough and
continued to be tough but government is committed to taking necessary
steps to achieve this by improving tax administration to further
increase the tax revenue and controlling the inflation. The
reconstruction of the war-torn North and East will add extra cost next
year which will be around 1-1.5% of the GDP. Government expects to bring
the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation and the Ceylon Electricity Board to
break even level by 2011. It would help to maintain the budget deficit.
IMF loan facility cannot be used for the development projects or
reconstruction work and those assistance should come from the donors.
The SBA is to maintain the reserve position, stability of the
financial system and the stability of the currency. IMF will re-open its
country office in Colombo in early October. Dr. Koshy Mathai will head
the country office, Aitken said.
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