Egypt's new Prime Minister asks for time
Prime Minister-designate Kamal Ganzouri asked Egyptians to "give me a
chance" as tens of thousands rally in Cairo against the military rulers.
In his first public comments since being named, he said he would not
name a new government before Monday's polls.
The protesters in central Cairo's Tahrir Square want the
parliamentary elections postponed. Not far away, a smaller
counter-demonstration was held in support of the military and the
elections. Over 40 people were killed earlier this week as the security
forces tried to break up the massive protests, leading to the worst
violence since the fall of President Hosni Mubarak in February. People
were letting off fireworks and shouting "Down with the military regime,"
she says.
Despite promises by the council to speed up the process, some
protesters fear it intends to cling to power. They want military rule to
end before parliamentary elections are held.
Yet many Egyptians want the polls to go ahead as planned. One
influential group, the Muslim Brotherhood - which is expected to do well
in the vote - is not supporting the Tahrir Square protests. At least
10,000 people staged a rival rally on Friday in Abbasiya Square - near
the defence ministry, north of Tahrir Square - to show support for the
military's electoral timetable
The euro zone; Is it really the end?
Even as the euro zone hurtles towards a crash, most people are
assuming that, in the end, European leaders will do whatever it takes to
save the single currency. That is because the consequences of the euro's
destruction are so catastrophic that no sensible policymaker could stand
by and let it happen.
A euro break-up would cause a global bust worse even than the one in
2008-09. The world's most financially integrated region would be ripped
apart by defaults, bank failures and the imposition of capital controls.
The euro zone could shatter into different pieces, or a large block
in the north and a fragmented south. Amid the recriminations and broken
treaties after the failure of the European Union's biggest economic
project, wild currency swings between those in the core and those in the
periphery would almost certainly bring the single market to a shuddering
halt. The survival of the EU itself would be in doubt.
Yet the threat of a disaster does not always stop it from happening.
The chances of the euro zone being smashed apart have risen alarmingly,
thanks to financial panic, a rapidly weakening economic outlook and
pigheaded brinkmanship.
The odds of a safe landing are dwindling fast. Investors' growing
fears of a euro break-up have fed a run from the assets of weaker
economies, a stampede that even strong actions by their governments
cannot seem to stop. The latest example is Spain. Despite a sweeping
election victory on November 20 for the People's Party, committed to
reform and austerity, the country's borrowing costs have surged again.
The government has just had to pay a 5.1% yield on three-month paper,
more than twice as much as a month ago. Yields on ten-year bonds are
above 6.5%. Italy's new technocratic government under Mario Monti has
not seen any relief either: ten-year yields remain well above 6%.
Belgian and French borrowing costs are rising. And this week, an auction
of German government Bunds flopped.
The panic engulfing Europe's banks is no less alarming. Their access
to wholesale funding markets has dried up, and the interbank market is
increasingly stressed, as banks refuse to lend to each other. Firms are
pulling deposits from peripheral countries' banks. This backdoor run is
forcing banks to sell assets and squeeze lending; the credit crunch
could be deeper than the one Europe suffered after Lehman Brothers
collapsed.
Add the ever greater fiscal austerity being imposed across Europe and
a collapse in business and consumer confidence, and there is little
doubt that the euro zone will see a deep recession in 2012-with a fall
in output of perhaps as much as 2 percent. That will lead to a vicious
feedback loop in which recession widens budget deficits, swells
government debts and feeds popular opposition to austerity and reform.
Fear of the consequences will then drive investors even faster towards
the exits.
Past financial crises show that this downward spiral can be arrested
only by bold policies to regain market confidence. But Europe's
policymakers seem unable or unwilling to be bold enough. The
much-ballyhooed leveraging of the euro-zone rescue fund agreed on in
October is going nowhere. Euro-zone leaders have become adept at talking
up grand long-term plans to safeguard their currency-more intrusive
fiscal supervision, new treaties to advance political integration. But
they offer almost no ideas for containing today's conflagration.
Germany's cautious chancellor, Angela Merkel, can be ruthlessly
efficient in politics: witness the way she helped to pull the rug from
under Silvio Berlusconi. A credit crunch is harder to manipulate. Along
with leaders of other creditor countries, she refuses to acknowledge the
extent of the markets' panic. The European Central Bank (ECB) rejects
the idea of acting as a lender of last resort to embattled, but solvent,
governments.
The fear of creating moral hazard, under which the offer of help
eases the pressure on debtor countries to embrace reform, is seemingly
enough to stop all rescue plans in their tracks. Yet that only
reinforces investors' nervousness about all euro-zone bonds, even
Germany's, and makes an eventual collapse of the currency more likely.
Indian MPs in uproar over retail reform plans
There has been uproar in India's parliament over the cabinet's
decision to open up the retail market to global supermarket chains.
One key government ally, the Trinamool Congress, joined opposition
parties in shouting slogans and unfurling banners. The lower house had
to be adjourned, and Trade Minister Anand Sharma instead held a press
conference to spell out details of the policy.
He said the "India-specific" scheme would create tens of millions of
jobs. The cabinet's move allows 51% foreign direct ownership (FDI) of
multi-brand retail stores, allowing groups like Tesco and Wal-Mart to
open stores. Such operators currently can only sell wholesale in India
and not directly to customers.
The policy is an executive decision and does not need parliament's
approval. Supporters of the move say it will increase competition and
quality while reducing prices, which have been hit by close to
double-digit inflation.
Opponents say the multi-nationals will squeeze out India's smaller
and poorer traders and drive down prices paid to India's farmers.
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