China's stocks enter bear market
Chinese stocks have fallen to a four-and-a-half-year low amid
continued concern over the government's credit-tightening policy.
The Shanghai Composite SSE index fell 5.3% to 1,859 points. This
resulted in shares entering bear market territory - describing a 20%
fall from a recent peak.
China's Central Bank has indicated that its credit-tightening policy
will continue, saying the era of cheap credit is over. A government-led
credit boom has been one of the key contributors to China's economic
growth in recent years. This is the first time since January 2009 that
the Shanghai Composite index has fallen below the 1,900 point mark. It
has dipped 24% since its high of 2,444.80 points in February.
After the global financial crisis in 2008-09, China unleashed a huge
monetary stimulus to boost economic growth.
While the credit boom helped cushion the impact of the crisis on its
economy, it led to concern that too much cheap cash had flooded its
financial system.
There have been calls for China to contain this credit boom and also
to reduce its reliance on credit and investment-led growth. Recently the
People's Bank of China (PBOC), the country's Central Bank, temporarily
turned off the flow of cheap money to impose more discipline on its
banks and reduce their reliance on credit.
That resulted in China's banks, mostly state-owned, charging each
other some of the highest lending rates ever, over 25% in some cases,
triggering fears of a credit crunch.
There were fears that the money markets could freeze up completely
and put smaller lenders out of business as a result of the Central
Bank's drastic move.
But inter-bank lending rates eased last Monday as PBOC made it clear
big commercial banks should do a better job of managing their cash
reserves and keep lending to smaller players.
However, the Central Bank did not signal it was turning the taps back
on, leading traders to speculate that borrowing costs would remain
relatively high for medium-sized banks and potentially dent profits.
BBC chief business correspondent Linda Yueh said the PBOC's move
means that "banks can't count on the Central Bank for cheap cash".
"In fact, the Central Bank wants to root out the poorly-performing
banks - especially those in the so-called shadow banking system."
China, the world's second-largest economy, has been one of the
biggest drivers of global growth in recent years. Its economic rise has
seen it become a key trading partner of the other Asian economies,
becoming a major market for exports from those countries.
China's shadow banks, unregulated and with little risk management,
are a ticking time bomb, said Rajiv Biswas from IHS Global Insight. It
buys a variety of products, ranging from commodities such as iron ore
and coal from Australia and Indonesia to consumer goods from Japan and
South Korea.
Analysts and investors have been concerned that if growth in China
slows sharply, it will affect growth in the region's economies that rely
on Chinese demand.
As a result, regional markets have been nervous about the
developments in China.
Japan's Nikkei 225 index dipped 0.7%, South Korea's Kospi index shed
1% and Australia's ASX 200 index was down by 0.3%.
Leading miners Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton, which rely heavily on
demand from China, were down by more 2.7% and 1.6% on the Australian
Securities Exchange.
Analysts said that if fears over China continued to grow, it may hurt
mining shares further.
"The actions from the Chinese government to reduce liquidity in China
will have on-flowing effects to other firms as well," said a global
analyst at Rivkin, Tim Radford. "It's a rippling effect and that's
obviously impacted risk appetite in the Aussie market out of fears
something could go wrong in China."
BBC
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