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Asia and Pacific's 'Missing Middle' lacks social protection

Social protection systems in many fast-growing middle-income countries in Asia and the Pacific are failing to support large numbers of poor and vulnerable people, leaving them exposed to risks and unexpected difficulties such as unemployment, ill health, and natural disasters, a new Asian Development Bank (ADB) study noted.

"There are many vulnerable groups, including women and informal sector workers, who can't access unemployment, health or other social insurance but are also not poor enough to be eligible for social assistance such as cash transfers," said a Director in ADB's Regional and Sustainable Development Department, Bart Édes.

"Government social protection programs need to be expanded to cover this unprotected 'missing middle,' who are at risk of falling into poverty in case of an economic, environmental, or health shock of some kind."

The study, which analysed government programs providing social insurance, social assistance, and labour market support in 35 countries across Asia and the Pacific, showed varied spending patterns across income groups and sub-regions.

A few countries - Japan, the Republic of Korea, Mongolia, and Uzbekistan - have Social Protection Indexes that are higher than 0.200, meaning that they are already investing 8% of their gross domestic product (GDP) on social protection programs.

However, spending in most middle-income countries, including Armenia, Fiji, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, the Philippines, and Samoa, remains below 3% of GDP.

The study noted that because social insurance tends to dominate government social protection spending, benefits accrue disproportionately to men and non-poor. Poor and disadvantaged persons, particularly those working in the informal sector, benefit less because they lack access to social insurance. They are instead targeted by social assistance programs that in many countries are fragmented and provide inadequate transfers.

Relatively little is being spent on labour market programs such as cash-for-work and skills development. This needs to be addressed amidst rising youth unemployment, critical skills gaps, and the disproportionate number of women who are unable to enter the formal labour market.

Areas for government attention include employment guarantee schemes to construct or rebuild basic infrastructure, skills development, and technical and vocational education and training.

Countries at various stages of development need to set their own targets, taking into account available public resources. However, governments need to accelerate the review and reform of pension schemes in view of the region's huge informal sector and rapid aging. Preventive social protection programs such as micro-insurance schemes to cushion the impact of variable weather patterns and natural disasters should also be explored, the study said.

Expanding social protection coverage needs mobilisation of additional public revenue which can be secured by broadening the tax base, improving tax collection, and improving public expenditure management.

Governments should also encourage private firms to contribute more to social insurance programs.

After many years of high growth, the Asia and Pacific region is in an excellent position to invest in better social protection systems that are attuned to the needs of its people.

The new Social Protection Index was prepared by ADB and development partners; the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD); the OECD Korea Policy Centre and the International Labour Organisation. It provides detailed information on the extent of social protection public expenditure, population coverage, and the impact on specific groups, including the poor and women.

It allows governments to assess the effectiveness of programs, and provides guidance for improvements to social protection systems.

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