S.Korea CB keeps rates on hold
South Korea's central bank held interest rates steady on Thursday,
defying market expectations for a quarter point rise in the face of
mounting concerns that the global economic recovery is slowing down.
Bond futures rallied to 20-month highs while the won and share prices
gave up earlier gains after the Bank of Korea left its 7-day repurchase
agreement rate at 2.25 percent for a second consecutive month.
The central bank had surprised markets in July by raising rates for
the first time in the wake of the global economic crisis from a record
low of 2 percent.
In a statement, the central bank reiterated that its policy was aimed
at stabilising inflation, which it said was on the rise, while helping
the economy sustain solid growth.
Analysts said they still expect at least one more rate increase this
year, but added much would depend on trends in advanced economies,
important for Asia's fourth-largest economy which relies heavily on
exports.
"Concerns of an economic slowdown in the United States appear to be
the major factor that forced the Bank of Korea to keep rates steady.
Also domestic household lending growth has slowed down and that is
raising economic concerns for policymakers," said Yoon Il-kwang, a
fixed-income analyst at Daewoo Securities. "We still believe the central
bank will raise rates before the end of this year and the timing will
depend on external risk factors." The central bank said it expected
solid domestic growth but possible volatility in major economies could
pose a risk to the global outlook. It did not explain directly why it
kept the interest rate on hold.
Governor Kim Choong-soo is due to hold a news conference from 0220
GMT.
Front-end treasury bond futures extended gains to hit a 20-month
intraday high, while the won and share prices gave up much of their
early gains as the Bank of Korea's move underscored rising uncertainty
over the economy.
Fourteen out of the 17 analysts polled by Reuters had forecast the
Bank of Korea would bump up the rate by 25 basis points after holding it
steady last month. A majority of them had expected another rate rise
next quarter.
The central bank has repeatedly said the current interest rate is far
too low for an economy seen growing by some 6 percent this year, which
would be its fastest clip in nearly a decade and much quicker than most
developed economies.
South Korea's economy is showing signs of slowing growth especially
in exports and manufacturing, but policymakers have been heartened by
rising employment.
Despite the central bank's concerns about inflation pressures,
consumer inflation, at 2.6 percent in August, remains below the middle
of the Bank of Korea's 2-4 percent target. Reuters
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