Did the war bring us any lessons?
The frontlines have disappeared in this new kind of conflict, and our
old deterrent weapons are no longer enough.
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Israeli Deputy Premier Shimon Peres, left, meets with U.N. Secretary
General Kofi Annan in Annan's Jerusalem hotel Wednesday Aug. 30,
2006. Israel on Wednesday sidestepped demands by visiting U.N.
Secretary-General Kofi Annan that it lift its sea and air blockade
of Lebanon immediately and withdraw its forces from Lebanon once
5,000 international troops are deployed there. (AP) |
In Lebanon we have experienced a new form of battle. Terrorist
organisations are armed with a wide range of missiles and rockets that
enable them to bypass frontlines and hit tanks, planes and
concentrations of soldiers.
This type of war is more ballistic in nature than territorial. It is
driven more by a religious ideology than by nationalistic motivation,
seeking to target populations wherever possible, even before trying to
control territory. The line of division between the battle front and the
home front is largely blurred.
This is a war fought in the media as well as on the ground. This
battlefield is teeming with television lenses, whose image of the war is
no less important than the war per se, making the struggle for
legitimacy in the public's mind and the morale of one's own soldiers as
central to the conflict as military success.
The terrorists do not confine themselves to political boundaries.
They exist like parasites in countries that are not theirs, and turn
into an army within an army, with the freedom to don army uniforms or
take them off, as they please.
The arms that a country like Israel has at its disposal are not
designed for wars of this nature. It would be senseless to use a plane
or helicopter that has cost millions of dollars for the purpose of
chasing a lone terrorist, or a small group of terrorists, at high risk.
The homeland is also unprepared for this new kind of war. The population
is concentrated in a limited area, constituting an easy target for
missiles.
Just as it is hard to distinguish between the front and the homeland
of the side under attack, it is also not so easy to see the distinction
between a weak government and rogue aggressors in the territories from
which the attacks are launched. What are the lessons to be drawn from
these changes? No deterrent weapon is everlasting.
The form of deterrent must be in accordance with changes on the
battlefield - David's slingshot was good for only one battle. Clearly,
Israel must maintain defence forces in case it is attacked by
traditional armies.
Strategic deterrent
Yet it must develop a strategic deterrent that rests on weapons and
an organisational structure appropriate to this new era, in which
terrorists are equipped with missiles and media. A terrorist might be
deterred by the knowledge that new surveillance tools have been
developed that could identify him, even in a large crowd; that his
weapon could be detected without his knowledge.
This kind of deterrent could be based on miniaturised arms or on
remote-control robots operating on the battlefield; perhaps even on a
type of intelligence hitherto unknown, grounded in revolutionary
nanotechnology.
Luckily, Israel already has an excellent group of hi-tech scientists
capable of developing detection and defence devices that have the
capacity to target the enemy individually and give personal protection.
Fifty years ago I had the privilege of introducing new arms systems
to the Israel Defence Forces that provided Israel with a powerful
deterrent that is still valid. I am persuaded that it is possible to do
this again, by means of innovative and daring technology, for the long
term. Furthermore, Israel should pursue a policy of population
decentralisation, and support the legitimisation of one single authority
in the whole of Lebanon - indeed in all countries of the region.
The Lebanese government and the Palestinian Authority have lost
control of their territories and armed forces. They have stopped
representing peace and security in the territories for which they are
responsible. Israel must support the governments of Fouad Siniora, the
Lebanese prime minister, and Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian president,
in their struggles for exclusive territorial and military control over
their lands. A war deterrent is supposed to prevent war.
The only goal
The goal is peace. Despite all the resentment in Israeli public
opinion of Palestinian terrorism and terror emanating from Lebanon,
attaining peace has not diminished as an objective. In peace, as in war,
the paths change even if the objective does not. The notion of trading
territory for peace was successful in two instances - Egypt and Jordan.
It failed in two other cases - Lebanon and the Palestinian Authority.
We withdrew from Lebanon, in keeping with UN resolution 1559, but did
not receive full peace in return. We unilaterally withdrew from all the
areas of the Gaza Strip but, despite this move, attacks continued to be
launched on Israel from that territory.
The deployment of UN troops in southern Lebanon (where Hizbullah had
concentrated its forces) as a result of the new UN resolution has given
rise to renewed hope that full peace will be achieved with Lebanon,
which Siniora has publicly called for. Israel's response must be
positive, public and unequivocal: yes to peace with Lebanon.
Bilateral negotiations
The failure to achieve peace with the Palestinians was not the result
of ill will on the part of Israel, but of the lack of unity among the
Palestinians. The Palestinians who wish for peace do not have the power
to advance it. And the ones who do not want an agreement have the power
to prevent it.
As things stand today, policy will be replaced by tragedy. The
initiative to withdraw unilaterally from the West Bank has lost its
attraction in the eyes of the Israeli public due to the aftereffects of
withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
I cannot envisage a situation today in which the majority of Israelis
will support such a withdrawal. We were prepared to enter into bilateral
negotiations on the basis of the road map, but to date Hamas has
prevented the Palestinian side from following through. Israel will
continue proposing bilateral negotiations, despite Hamas's refusal.
An alternative could take the form of a partnership involving Israel,
Jordan and the Palestinians, following an economic route rather than a
political one. These three have already agreed to turn the whole border
region between the Red Sea and the Jordan river into a joint economic
peace corridor, along which industrial plants, tourism and agriculture
will be developed.
This approach has worked elsewhere; most of the important changes
that have occurred around the globe since the end of the second world
war have been the outcome not of military interventions but of economic
advances.
The three entities that agreed on this initiative lack the necessary
means to implement the plan. However, international funds that seek new
markets and opportunities, despite the risks involved, tend to be
attracted to regional development projects such as this. If we can
privatise part of the economy, why not privatise part of peace?
Therefore we must propose to the Palestinians that we enter into
political/ diplomatic negotiations on the only basis acceptable to the
international community and to the Palestinians themselves - the extant
road map - and at the same time remove the yoke of economic distress
through the development triangle. No longer is the adage "a people will
reside alone" valid. There are no frontlines any more, in war or peace.
This writer is the Israel Deputy Prime Minister Shimon Peres.
(The Guardian)
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