No solutions in sight as Syria war enters fourth year
Mar 15 APP
The Syrian conflict has claimed more than 140,000 lives, nearly half
of the population is displaced, the rebellion has been hijacked by
jihadists and President Bashar al-Assad is still firmly in the saddle.
As the war rages into its fourth year and with no diplomatic and
military solutions in sight, world powers appear at a loss as to how to
deal with what has now joined the alarming club of “intractable
conflicts”, according to Chatham House think tank researcher Christopher
Phillips.
And as the international community shifts its focus onto the crisis
in Ukraine, the dragging conflict which has pitted Assad’s traditional
ally Russia against the West now risks being put aside.
“It’s quite tragic that Ukraine is happening at this moment when
Syria can ill-afford to have attention elsewhere but it is almost
inevitable that the longer it goes on, the more people will be
distracted and begin to view Syria as something that can’t be fixed,”
Phillips said.
Peace talks in Geneva in January and February that for the first time
brought representatives of the regime and the opposition to the table
together failed to yield concrete results. US Secretary of State John
Kerry, one of the main players in Geneva, defended the talks by asking:
“How many years did the Vietnam talks take? How many years did Dayton
take in Bosnia-Herzegovina?”.
But there is a rising feeling that it will take years for the crisis
to be resolved.
To further complicate matters, the West has become increasingly wary
of the opposition after the emergence of Al-Qaeda-linked Islamist
fighters in its ranks.
Infighting and factionalism within the moderate wing of the
opposition has not helped either.
The West wants “neither Assad nor the Islamists,” a European
diplomatic source said.Western nations have also been alarmed by the
growing number of jihadists from their countries going to fight in Syria
whom they fear could pose huge security threats if they returned as
battle-hardened veterans.
“The longer the war is going on and the more the sort of Al-Qaeda
type groups have emerged in the opposition-held northern parts of Syria,
the more it has become a security concern,” Phillips said.
“That’s why it’s begun to prompt some to say: ‘Well actually we
should accept Bashar al-Assad in power and actually support his
government indirectly to contain that sort of security threat of
Al-Qaeda and so on,’” he said.“And we’ve already heard reports of
Western intelligence agencies contacting the Syrian regime about a sort
of joint counter Al-Qaeda strategy in Syria,” Phillips added.
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